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Monday, November 8, 2004
Has Mainstream Media Caught On?

Hopefully. Bloggermann, Keith Olbermann.

Thus the majority of the media has yet to touch the other stories of Ohio (the amazing Bush Times Ten voting machine in Gahanna) or the sagas of Ohio South: huge margins for Bush in Florida counties in which registered Democrats outnumber registered Republicans 2-1, places where the optical scanning of precinct totals seems to have turned results from perfect matches for the pro-Kerry exit poll data, to Bush sweeps.

We will be endeavoring to pull those stories, along with the Warren County farce, into the mainstream Monday and/or Tuesday nights on Countdown.

What will Bush do with his Mandate and his Political Capital? He got the highest vote total for a presidential candidate, you know. Did anybody notice who’s second on the list? A Mr. Kerry.

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Posted by alan to politics at 12:56 am PT | Link | Comments (3)
Saturday, November 6, 2004
More on Florida

The more I read about the election, the more I’m sure something’s not right. Check out the article here. I don’t really have anything to add to it.

In Baker County, for example, with 12,887 registered voters, 69.3% of them Democrats and 24.3% of them Republicans, the vote was only 2,180 for Kerry and 7,738 for Bush, the opposite of what is seen everywhere else in the country where registered Democrats largely voted for Kerry.

In Dixie County, with 4,988 registered voters, 77.5% of them Democrats and a mere 15% registered as Republicans, only 1,959 people voted for Kerry, but 4,433 voted for Bush.

The pattern repeats over and over again – but only in the counties where optical scanners were used. Franklin County, 77.3% registered Democrats, went 58.5% for Bush. Holmes County, 72.7% registered Democrats, went 77.25% for Bush.

Yet in the touch-screen counties, where investigators may have been more vigorously looking for such anomalies, high percentages of registered Democrats generally equaled high percentages of votes for Kerry. (I had earlier reported that county size was a variable – this turns out not to be the case. Just the use of touch-screens versus optical scanners.)

The optical scan machines are the ones made by Diebold.

Others offer similar insights, based on other data. A professor at the University of Massachusetts, Amherst, noted that in Florida the vote to raise the minimum wage was approved by 72%, although Kerry got 48%. “The correlation between voting for the minimum wage increase and voting for Kerry isn’t likely to be perfect,” he noted, “but one would normally expect that the gap – of 1.5 million votes – to be far smaller than it was.”

But I agree with Fox’s Dick Morris on this one, at least in large part. Wrapping up his story for The Hill, Morris wrote in his final paragraph, “This was no mere mistake. Exit polls cannot be as wrong across the board as they were on election night. I suspect foul play.”

Related links:
A graph of optical scan vs. touchscreen counties: http://ustogether.org/election04/Liddle_Analysis.html
Table of the same data: http://ustogether.org/Florida_Election.htm

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Posted by alan to politics at 7:16 pm PT | Link | Comments (5)
Friday, November 5, 2004
Voter Fraud?

Everyone on both sides claims they want every vote to be counted. So do I, and if that means George Bush is President, so be it. Each vote should only be counted once, though. I’m sure everyone’s already heard about the error in Franklin County, Ohio. Almost 4000 extra votes for Bush (which has been corrected, thankfully). Unforunately, there’s more.

The following pages were copied from the Florida Dept of State website. Here are the originals: [turnout votes] and my copies: [turnout votes]. I made copies because I don’t trust the originals to stay the same, as they will be changed with updated counts, most likely.

Now, take a look at the turnout in Palm Beach county: 452,061. Add up the total number of votes for President in that county: 542,835. Somehow, 90,774 more votes were cast than people showed up at the polls.

Miami-Dade: Turnout of 716,574. Total votes for President: 768,553. 51,979 more votes than voters.

All in all, there were more reported votes than voters in 10 counties in Florida. These were the two biggest, by a large margin, and also happen to be heavily Democratic counties. The other counties:
Glades: +742, Highlands: +7495, Lake: +187, Leon: +85, Okaloosa: +222, Orange: +1648, Osceola: +18598, Volusia: +19306. Let’s take a look at the ones with large mistakes. Highlands, Osceola, Volusia (and of course Palm Beach and Miami-Dade).

2000 Bush Gore Difference
Highlands 20,196 14,152 +6,044
Miami-Dade 289,456 328,702 -39,246
Osceola 26,216 28,177 -1,961
Palm Beach 152,846 268,945 -116,099
Volusia 82,214 97,063 -14,849
2004 Bush Kerry Difference
Highlands 25,874 15,346 +10,528
Miami-Dade 358,613 406,099 -47,486
Osceola 43,108 38,617 +4,491
Palm Beach 211,894 327,698 -115,804
Volusia 111,544 115,319 -3,775

Highlands looks reasonable. I might even be convinced that Miami-Dade does as well, though Kerry only gaining 8000 votes when the turnout was 150,000 higher than 2000 seems odd. A switch from Gore winning by almost 2000 to Kerry losing by almost 4500 in Osceola? Strange. An increase in turnout by 117,801 in Palm Beach county, which Gore took with 64%… and Kerry doesn’t gain on that? I find that hard to believe. And losing 11,000 votes in Volusia, again with higher turnout, which Gore took with 54%? I just don’t buy it.

Something’s wrong here. We know, because the vote counts are wrong, that the numbers have to be wrong somewhere. I don’t know where. Thanks to the Diebold electronic voting machines with no paper trail, we can’t even do a recount. It’d be the equivalent of having the computers just spit out the same stored numbers they did the first time. No auditing. No paper trail. No hand recount. Obvious vote count inaccuracies.

Thanks to Gray at DailyKos for most of these numbers.

Update: Highlands, Osceola, and Volusia used paper ballots. Recounts there should be possible. Palm Beach and Miami-Dade used touchscreen with no paper trail.

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Posted by alan to politics at 11:31 pm PT | Link | Comments (2)
IQ and Voting

This has been making the rounds on the internet lately. At the bottom, it links to this and says the data “correlates somewhat.” Sure, if by somewhat, you mean not at all.

The chart using the data linked to looks like this.

Now, stop posting and e-mailing this to people. Calling conservatives stupid is wrong (factually, not just ethically), and just makes all liberals look bad.

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Posted by alan to politics at 1:47 am PT | Link | Comments (2)
Thursday, November 4, 2004
New Terror Alert

I got sick of staring at Bert so much, so I created a new terror alert page.

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Posted by alan to [meta, politics] at 6:42 pm PT | Link | Comments (2)
Wednesday, November 3, 2004
White, Discussion

A song by Live:

i talk of freedom
you talk of the flag
i talk of revolution
you’d much rather brag
and as the decibels of this disenchanting
discourse continue to dampen the day

the coin flips again and again, and again,
and again as our sanity walks away

all this discussion
though politically correct
is dead beyond destruction
though it leaves me quite erect
and as the final sunset rolls behind the earth
and the clock is finally dead
i’ll look at you, you’ll look at me
and we’ll cry alot
but this will be what we said
this will be what we said

look where all this talking got us baby.

Look where all this talking got us, baby. Four more years. Republicans control Congress. God help us.

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Posted by alan to politics at 12:25 pm PT | Link | Comments (13)
Tuesday, November 2, 2004
Vote!

Make sure you remember to get out and vote today. Everything else is less important, and can wait.

That is all.

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Posted by alan to politics at 12:38 am PT | Link | Comments (0)
Monday, November 1, 2004
The Votemaster

So, it turns out that the guy who runs the =http://www.electoral-vote.comElectoral Vote Predictor[/url] website is =http://www.cs.vu.nl/~astAndrew Tanenbaum[/url]. The first thing I did when I read that was look up at my bookshelf for =http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/0136386776/mustsleepsoftwarOperating Systems: Design and Implementation[/url]. Apparently, I don’t actually have that book. I thought I did, but I guess not. He is mentioned in several of the books I do have, and everyone who has studied operating systems should know who he is. I then continued reading the Votemaster FAQ, to see if it was actually the same guy. It is.

I just wanted to say thanks, for your great contributions to operating systems, and for running a terrific website that I’ve been following every day for months now to keep up with the election.

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Posted by alan to politics at 1:20 pm PT | Link | Comments (0)
Sunday, October 31, 2004
Green Bay Comes Through

The Packers beat the Redskins today, ensuring a John Kerry victory on Tuesday. It looked a little scary there when Favre got picked off for an interception up by 6 late in the fourth quarter, but the Packers came back with an interception of their own, scored, and completed a two point conversion for good measure, to win 28-14.

For those counting, this is the first football game I’ve paid any attention to this year.

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Posted by alan to politics at 7:34 pm PT | Link | Comments (4)
Thursday, October 7, 2004
Global Test

Image taken from: =http://www.youforgotpoland.comyouforgotpoland.com[/url]

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Posted by alan to politics at 1:32 pm PT | Link | Comments (25)
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